Among other things, the opinions of a blogger, writer, singer, son, brother, father and husband. My take on the world in general and one thing in particular - a commentary on the current political climate in Zimbabwe. I am not a journalist, nor a political activist, but I am man with a conscience. Hence, this page is my civic responsibility. The more people that hear about the devastating rule in Zimbabwe and the real problems therein, the better!

Thursday, October 18, 2007

Thursday, 18th October 2007

Howzit

This morning I received 15 photographs in an email, reportedly of Mugabe's mansion. Much as I would love to show the photographs, and show the double standards of Mugabe, I have reason to believe that the photos are not his mansion.

There is an outdoor swimming pool - but I can see nothing on the GoogleEarth pictures.

I doubt that Mugabe would allow a photographer in to take snaps which would somehow make their way onto the internet. I have a feeling that I have seen these photos before. The other point I raise is that there would appear to be very little by way of Africana in the photographs. Mugabe is mesmerised by Africana - just look at how he transformed Parliament House... Sorry - I remain unconvinced.

No offence to those that sent me the photographs, but I will not publish them until I am assured that they are of Bob's kumba.

-o00o-

How apt then when Eddie Cross decides to write about Operation Murambatsvina just yesterday...

"When the Murambatsvina operation was mounted by the government of Zimbabwe in 2005 it was directed at those who occupied illegal dwellings in urban areas and who operated informal businesses to support themselves and their families.
According to the United Nations subsequent report on this operation 700 000 people were rendered homeless and some 2,4 million were affected in some way by the exercise over a period of three months.

In
Bulawayo, one of the target areas was the squatter camp at Killarney just to the south of the City near the Old Nick Mine. This area was home to some 2000 people who had built small mud and grass homes and drew water from nearby urban settlements. The area was adjacent to low-density housing and many found work there or traveled into town to work in the informal sector."

And whilst people have been struggling for shelter and a place to sleep (some are obliged to sleep in the open), Mugabe lives in 'his' mansion. Tucked up warmly with his wife - young enough to be his daughter, living with all the trappings of wealth - sadly taken from others.

Why is it that Zimbabweans allow him to walk all over them like this?

"
After three days, in the early hours of the morning, military trucks arrived at all the Churches accompanied by armed soldiers and police. The people were loaded onto the trucks and taken out into the rural areas. No attempt was made to try and find out where they would like to go, they were simply dumped in the rural areas - in many cases up to 200 kilometers from Killarney. They were simply left on the side of the road to try and find their way into the local community for help."

I am glad that we left Zimbabwe when we did. Not that Murambatsvina would have affected us as the house we lived in is still there - but would we have been allowed to stay there? The house was a few dozen metres from the local hotel that had been taken over by ZANU PF and the all-night parties were horrendously loud.

They even took to parking their fancy Mercedes in our driveway - blocking me from parking either my wife's Ford, or my BMW...

"
...the Pastors involved have conducted burials at the rate of 2 to 3 a week amongst this displaced community since their eviction from their homes. Many returned to Killarney to try and rebuild their lives but have been displaced and their homes destroyed for a second time. In other urban centers this process continues - last week 28 homes were burnt and their contents destroyed by Police in the Kwe Kwe area for instance.

By our rough count half the community displaced from Killarney has died since 2005. The main reasons have been malnutrition, starvation, exposure (the 2005 and 2006 winters were especially cold) and diseases. The main casualties have been the children and men. The latter succumbing to hopelessness and despair when they were unable in any way to either protect or provide for their families.


The actual numbers of people displaced by Murambatsvina may in fact have been significantly higher than the UN estimated. Those estimates were based on official figures given to the UN team by the State. In one small centre - Beitbridge the total numbers of displaced were estimated at 22 000 out of an official numbers in the town of 50 000 - over 40 per cent. However the housing situation in Beitbridge was particularly poor and informal settlements extensive. 70 per cent of the displaced population remains homeless in Beitbridge.
"

Mugabe has ordered sustained evictions from farms, sustained demolition of houses deemed 'illegal' and sustained pressure applied to all people in Zimbabwe where the government believes that their existence can upset his future plans.

Two years later, very little has been done to rectify the chaos that the operations caused. Indeed, many, if not most, of the houses built for the displaced people have been handed out to ZANU PF sympathisers - not that this means very much, as not very many houses were built.

-o00o-

"Zimbabwe's inflation rate, already the highest in the world, rose to a new peak of nearly 8,000 percent last month, figures released by the central statistics bureau showed on Wednesday.

"The year-on-year inflation rate in September 2007 was 7,892.1 percent, gaining 1,389.3 percentage points on the August rate of 6,592.8 percent," the bureau said in a statement.


The month-on-month rate of inflation was 38.7 percent, the CSO added.


The new rise reverses a slight fall in the monthly rate that was recorded in September and punctures hopes by government that it was beginning to tame what central bank governor Gideon Gono
has termed the country's "economic HIV."

I watch with bated breath for the Governor to announce the expected currency change - but do feel that he will probably repeat the dropping of three zeroes off the currency - as once again, the tills and calculators are struggling to deal with the inordinate number of figures.

Which will mean, in essence, that Gono will have effectively devalued the dollar a million times! But don't take my word for it - it will happen, and it will happen soon.

"
Year on year food and non-alcoholic beverages inflation stood at 7,759 percent 149.1 percentage points from the August figure of 7,908 percent," the CSO said.

"Non-food inflation was 8,096.7 percent up from 5,983.9 percent."


The poverty threshold for an average family of five stood at 22,658,400 Zimbabwe dollars (755 US dollars) in September, up from the August figure of 11,961,000 dollars.
"

There cannot be that many families in Zimbabwe - and I don't include the government or any other ZANU PF bodies (at a pinch we could include the Army and Air Force - but we know that they are paid peanuts anyway) - that clear in excess of 22 million a month - and that is just the break even mark...

"
At least 80 percent of the population is living below the poverty threshold, often skipping meals and walking or cycling to work in order to stretch their income to the next payday.

In August last year the central bank slashed three zeros from its currency and introduced new banknotes in a bid to rein in runaway inflation, as shoppers resorted to carrying cash in rucksacks on ordinary shopping trips.
"

Amazing that it took Mugabe just 27 years to ruin a brilliant country, the majority of the damage coming in the last 7 years...

-o00o-

I am very pleased that Reuters did this, as it saved me from producing something similar...

"Zimbabwe's inflation rate accelerated to a new record high of 7,982.1 percent year on year in September from 6,592.8 percent in August, the government's Central Statistical Office (CSO) said on Wednesday.


Following are major events since the economic problems began:


1998 - An economic crisis marked by high interest rates and inflation provokes riots and mass support for the Zimbabwean Congress of Trade Unions headed by Morgan Tsvangirai. The Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) is formed and Tsvangirai is appointed leader the next year.


1999 - World Bank and IMF suspend aid to Zimbabwe over differences with the government on policies.


2000 - Mugabe's government loses referendum on constitutional reforms, and his supporters invade and seize white-owned commercial farms, saying the land was illegally taken by white settlers.


2000 - Mugabe's ruling ZANU PF party wins parliamentary polls amid charges of fraud and vote rigging by the opposition.


2001 - Zimbabwe suffers food shortages that government critics blame on farm seizures, but Mugabe blames on drought.


2001 - Several Western governments quietly withdraw economic aid over rights abuses by the government and Mugabe's land policy.


2002 - Mugabe wins new six-year term in elections. Observers condemn poll as flawed and unfair.


2002 - Commonwealth suspends Zimbabwe, while EU imposes travel sanctions and freezes assets of Mugabe's associates.


2002 - Collapse of commercial agriculture and poor weather contribute to serious food shortages. UN agencies, Britain and the U.S. help fund food aid.


2004 - The EU renews sanctions against Mugabe.


2005 - Mugabe's party wins parliamentary election.


2005 - The IMF begins process to expel Zimbabwe from the fund over dues unpaid since 2001.


2006 - Zimbabwe's annual inflation rises above 1,000 percent in April. Redenominated notes are issued in August.


2007 - Ruling ZANU PF adopts a motion to hold elections in 2008 in March and endorse Mugabe as its presidential candidate.


2007 - Government institutes price freeze in June, followed two months later by wage freeze.


2007 - There is a run on shops as goods disappear from shelves. Zimbabwe imports 60,000 tons of wheat to ease bread shortages. The government said it did not meet its annual consumption requirements of between 400,000 and 450,000 tons of wheat.


2007 - Zimbabwe announces inflation slowed to an annualized 6,592.8 percent in August from 7,634.8 percent in July.


2007 - Central bank raises its main lending rate to 800 percent from 650 percent on October 1 to fight inflation.


2007 - The central bank also says it will launch a new currency soon to try to curtail a thriving foreign exchange black-market.


2007 - Zimbabwe announces on October 17 that inflation has risen to a new record high of 7,982.1 percent year on year in September.
"

Makes you think, doesn't it?

-o00o-

You would have thought that after 27 years in power, that the ZANU PF government nucleus would be aware of Mugabe's ability to short-change, wriggle away from and generally superimpose his own needs within government.

"A new wave of political instability is rippling through the fragmented ruling ZANU PF party after President Robert Mugabe enlisted a notorious war veteran to whip up support ahead of the party's critical extraordinary congress in December.


Mugabe recently reinstated via the back door dismissed party member and vocal war veterans' leader Jabulani Sibanda to campaign for his endorsement as ZANU PF's candidate for next year's presidential elections.


The move has further divided the party and heightened instability before the crucial congress at which Mugabe will desperately be seeking endorsement as the party's presidential election candidate next March.


It has also raised fresh fears ZANU PF could split if Mugabe continues to provoke worsening factionalism and infighting.
"

Mugabe believes himself to be the all-knowing, all-powerful and obviously will not consider standing down or not standing next year.

I love it when ZANU PF bickers amongst themselves as it means that they have their eye off the ball - the problem being that the ZRP, now used as a pro-ZANU PF whip, are ever-present and vigilant and beat, arrest and torture anyone who looks remotely interested in starting a protest of demonstration against Mugabe and his government.

"
Sibanda is holding rallies around the country, urging party members to back Mugabe in December.

Mugabe failed to secure outright support for his candidacy during the party's conference last December and at the central committee meeting in March. He is expected to browbeat his candidacy at the meeting.


ZANU PF administration secretary Didymus Mutasa said at the weekend the congress would endorse Mugabe as the candidate, while spokesman Nathan Shamuyarira said last week all the top four party positions - president, two deputies and chairman - would be up for grabs.
"

It appears that ZANU PF is confused. Good!

"
Others in the running are politburo member Simba Makoni and Reserve Bank governor Gideon Gono."

Could you imagine Gono as the country's next President?

-o00o-

In my head, I can hear Queen singing, "Another One Bites The Dust".

"South African retail giant Pick ‘n Pay says it suffered heavy losses on its Zimbabwean operations during the half-year to August, forcing it to write off its investments in the struggling southern African economy.


Ongoing economic problems in Zimbabwe erased a comfortable R23 million profit earned by the group from its Zimbabwean investments during the comparable period last year, forcing the retail giant to write off income from the country for the six months to August.


Pick ‘n Pay chairman Raymond Ackerman said although his company's stores in Zimbabwe were operating well, the South African group was expecting no income from there during the first half of the year.


Pick ‘n Pay has a stake in one of Zimbabwe’s leading retail chain, TM Supermarkets.
"

If this is the effect on a large company such as Pick 'n Pay, what hope do we have for the smaller companies in Zimbabwe - the small shops owned by families, be they black, white, coloured or indifferent? Just how are they meant to have survived the price slash and the ensuing losses?

I am fast coming to the conclusion that the price slash was a deliberate ploy by Mugabe and his government to give the people something else to think about while he railroaded amendement 17 through Parliament.

Mugabe has launched all manner of Operations at the population and these have all been forewarnings of bigger things to come, but the population has been so busy trying to survive the previous onslaught that there is little or nothing they can do in the face of a new campaign.

"
TM Supermarkets is among several Zimbabwean businesses negatively affected by a hostile operating environment in the country, largely blamed on a plethora of populist economic policies and ill-conceived political decisions.

These include a controversial price freeze imposed in June when President Robert Mugabe ordered companies to slash prices by half.


Authorities followed the price freeze with a blitz on manufacturers and retailers, forcing them to reduce prices and arresting those who refused to comply with the directive.
"

-o00o-

"Police Officers from Harare Central Law and Order Division briefly detained 3 members from Women of Zimbabwe Arise (WOZA) at a restaurant in Harare, saying they wanted WOZA coordinator Jenni Williams to surrender herself to Harare Central Police station.
The 3 women, Clara Manjengwa, Lilian Nketula and Kesina Munda, were interrogated for about 2 hours outside on the pavement. The police accused them of taking part in WOZA demonstrations on Monday, and planning more protests in the future.

Williams said she refused to turn herself in and wondered why the police did not deal with whatever the issue is on Monday, when she was in custody at Harare Central all day. According to Williams, the 3 WOZA members were ordered to walk to the police station with the officers. Just outside Harare Central the officers asked for Z$5 million from each member. The women refused and insisted on being charged if they had committed any crime. They were released without charge.
"

This is not the first time that Williams has been a target for the ZRP - and the fact that she is outspoken and will stand in the face of any adversity is proof enough that she is an incredibly brave woman, and if the police want her - they will have to give a very good reason, and she will attend with the required legal representative...

Williams' colour is not an issue. She stands by women of Zimbabwe and WOZA makes no division in colour. But the ZRP will be targetting her as she is so easily identified.

Williams is forthright is her appraoch. "
...the ordinary people have no platform to voice their anger about this. So we speak on their behalf."

-o00o-

Let me get this straight. You own a company and have earned foreign currency by making sales in the form of exports. The foreign currency is deposited in the company's bank account.

Now Gideon Gono and his merry men have taken over that foreign currency and in the event that you wish to use foreign curency to purchase any stock, you would have to apply for foreign currency and no doubt have to pay handsomely for the privilege...

"A mid-year monetary policy announcement by the Reserve Bank, effectively taking over foreign currency accounts held by exporters and NGO's, is now being implemented.


Last week some banks, including Barclays, sent out circulars to their corporate clients indicating that all foreign currency accounts held by exporters and NGO's were now under the Central Bank. This means all transactions made by forex account holders need the approval of the Central Bank. More worrying is that banks like Barclays have issued disclaimers saying they will not be held liable for any delays or claims not met.
"

Obviously this is the Mugabe government legalising the use of other peoples' foreign currency - in a word - THEFT...

"
South African based businessman Mutumwa Mawere has in the past accused government of raiding foreign currency accounts to pay off arrears with the International Monetary Fund. Mhlanga says there is credibility in those claims and the new system implemented allows them to do exactly that."

-o00o-

Take care.

'debvhu

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